28 January 2021 Economic Outlook Report

By: Taro Chellaram /Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report/Feb 08, 2021

28 January 2021 Economic Outlook Report

In our recently released second report in this series of economic risks, we focused on the potential of demand-side factors to lead to significantly higher U.S. inflation in the next few years. In short, we look for a modest increase in rates of consumer price inflation later this year. Not only do year-over-year comparisons become favorable for higher rates of inflation starting in the spring, but prices of many services could be boosted later this year, at least temporarily, by robust consumer spending when the economy fully reopens.




This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 25 October 2019

Sales of existing homes fell 2.2% to a 5.38 million-unit pace in September, but sales and prices were still up enough in the quarter that they will add solidly to Q3 GDP growth.

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A series of U.K. general election polls released this week continue to show Boris Johnson’s Conservative Party with a significant lead over the opposition Labor Party.

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We added 850,00 jobs in June, but much of that was State governments school districts in some parts of the Country reopening just in time for summer break.

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The latest hiring data are an encouraging sign that the U.S. economy is withstanding the global slowdown and continued trade-related uncertainty.

August 2020 Economy At A Glance

Downstream involves the refining and processing of oil and natural gas into fuels, chemicals, and plastics. All three sectors are well-represented in Houston.

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Personal consumption is still on track for a solid Q3, but retail sales declined in September for the first time in seven months.

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The gain in output leaves the level of real GDP just a stone\'s throw below its pre-COVID Q4-2019 level (see chart).

2021 Annual Economic Outlook

The longest U.S. economic expansion since the end of the Second World War came to an abrupt end earlier this year as the COVID pandemic essentially shut down the economy.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 20 December 2019

President Trump became the third president in U.S. history to be impeached by the House, but removal by the Senate is highly unlikely. The House also passed the USMCA, which should be signed into law in early 2020.

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How will Fed rates-cut and Trump 10% tariff on $300 Billion Chinese Goods countered by Chinese currency devaluation against Dollar, affect inflation and economic slowdown in US economy?


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