25 January 2021 Economic Outlook Report

By: Taro Chellaram /Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report/Jan 30, 2021

25 January 2021 Economic Outlook Report

In the second installment of our series on economic risks in the foreseeable future, we analyze the potential for higher inflation in coming years stemming from excess demand. Multiple rounds of direct government aid have left many households flush with excess savings which, coupled with pent-up demand, could lead to robust consumer spending that causes prices to shoot higher as the year progresses.




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In March retail sales fell 1.0%, manufacturing production slipped 0.5% and the consumer price index rose a modest 0.1%.

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The first economic data released this week in the United States reinforced the theme that labor supply and demand are struggling to come into balance.

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Increased vaccinations and an improving public health position led to an easing of restrictions and pickup in activity across the country in March.

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Markets were also pressured from the latest ISM manufacturing report, which signaled further deterioration in the sector with the index falling to its lowest level since 2009.

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