This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 27 March 2020

By: Taro Chellaram /Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report/Mar 28, 2020

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 27 March 2020

U.S. - Virus Shutdowns Begin to Show Up in the Data

  • The U.S. surpassed Italy and China with the most confirmed cases of COVID-19. Europe is still the center of the storm, with the total cases in Europe’s five largest economies topping 230,000.
  • The impact of virus-related shutdowns became readily apparent in this week’s initial unemployment claims, which soared to 3.3 million.
  • Most economic data reflect the period before the COVID-19 outbreak intensified in mid-March. New home sales averaged their strongest pace in over 12 years during the three months ended in February, while consumer spending rose modestly.

 

Global - Virus Hits Eurozone Data; Global Growth Downgraded

  • This past week, March PMI surveys for the Eurozone were released, with data suggesting a sharp deceleration in the broader European economy is likely. The services PMI fell to a record low of 28.4, while the manufacturing PMI dropped to 44.8, which signals the Eurozone economy could contract more than 4.0% in 2020.
  • As the COVID-19 virus intensifies, we downgraded our international growth forecasts once again. We now expect annual contractions in the U.K., Japan as well as Canada, and forecast China to experience its first annual contraction since at least 1980.



This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 27 August 2021

In other economic news, output continues to ramp up across the U.S., even as the resurgence in COVID cases is leading to some pullback in consumer engagement.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 20 October 2023

Treasury yields surged this week due to strong economic activity, impacting expectations for longer-term rates. New home sales led to a rise in single-family permits, but spiking mortgage rates are testing builder affordability strategies.

Economic Uncertainty Seems Removed Going Into The New Year 2020

The U.S. economy continues to expand, albeit at a moderate pace. The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reports U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) grew 2.1 percent in Q3/19.

July 2020 Economy At A Glance

The recent surge in COVID-19 cases indicates that elected officials re-opened the economy too soon, that too many Americans are flaunting social distancing guidelines, and that the virus is likely to be around longer than we’d hoped.

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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% in September, a monthly change that was a bit softer than the 0.6% increase registered in August. The core CPI rose 0.3% during the month, a pace unchanged from the month prior.

November 2020 Economy At A Glance

U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) grew 7.4 percent, or $1.3 trillion in Q3, adjusted for inflation.

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While talk of recession has kicked up in recent weeks, the majority of economic data remain consistent with modest growth.

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Housing starts jumped 5.8% during December. Single-family starts soared 12%, while multifamily starts dropped 13.6%.

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Data continue to reflect an economy digging itself out of the lockdown-induced slump.

13 January 2021 Monthly Outlook Report

The U.S. economy appears to be losing some momentum as the calendar turns to 2021 and the public health situation continues to deteriorate.


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