This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 17 June 2022

By: Taro Chellaram /Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report/Jun 20, 2022

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 17 June 2022

Two such innings in the same game is not believed to have ever been accomplished in the modern history of major league baseball.  After last week's stronger-than-expected CPI, less surprising was the 75 point rate increase put forth by the Fed.  Meanwhile, markets went into a churn on the increased risk of recession that rate increase introduces. The Bank’s economists now look for the U.S. economy to experience a mild contraction in mid-2023 as economic data released this week add to evidence that the chances of a soft landing are fading.  The economic ground beneath us continues to shift.




2021 Annual Economic Outlook

The longest U.S. economic expansion since the end of the Second World War came to an abrupt end earlier this year as the COVID pandemic essentially shut down the economy.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 25 September 2020

Existing home sales rose 2.4% to a 6.0-million unit annual pace. The surge in sales further depleted inventories and pushed prices sharply higher.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 24 January 2020

Fears of an escalating coronavirus outbreak reached the United States this week, as a Washington state man became the first confirmed domestic case and the international total reached more than 800.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 07 August 2020

There were more signs of global recovery this week and PMI surveys improved further across the world.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 06 November 2020

As of this writing, the outcome of the U.S. presidential election is undecided. Joe Biden, however, appears likely to become president based off of his growing lead in several key states.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 03 November 2023

Although payroll growth is easing, the labor market remains relatively tight. The unemployment rate inched up to 3.9% in October, slightly higher than the cycle low of 3.4% first hit in January 2023, but still low compared to historical averages.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 12 May 2023

In April, the CPI rose 0.4% on both a headline and core basis, keeping the core running at a 5.1% three-month annualized rate. However, details pointed to price growth easing ahead.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 20 October 2023

Treasury yields surged this week due to strong economic activity, impacting expectations for longer-term rates. New home sales led to a rise in single-family permits, but spiking mortgage rates are testing builder affordability strategies.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 18 November 2022

The resiliency of the U.S. consumer was also on display, as total retail sales increased a stronger-than-expected 1.3% in October, boosted, in part, by a 1.3% jump in motor vehicles & parts and a 4.1% rise at gasoline stations.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 28 May 2021

This week\'s light calendar of economic reports showed supply chain disruptions tugging a little at economic growth.


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