13 January 2021 Monthly Outlook Report

By: Taro Chellaram /Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report/Jan 19, 2021

13 January 2021 Monthly Outlook Report

The U.S. economy appears to be losing some momentum as the calendar turns to 2021 and the public health situation continues to deteriorate. Despite some near-term moderation, we are a bit more constructive on 2021 as a whole thanks to several new developments.

Stimulus to Boost Economic Growth in the U.S. 

The U.S. economy appears to be losing some momentum as the calendar turns to 2021. The cause of the recent slowdown is clear. The public health situation continues to deteriorate, which has led to a patchwork of new business restrictions, diminished consumer confidence and weaker-than-anticipated consumer spending. As a result, we have altered our estimate for real GDP growth in Q4-2020 and Q1-2021, which we now expect to rise 4.0% and 1.3%, respectively, on a quarterly annualized basis.




June 2020 Economy At A Glance

The Fed expects to hold interest rates near zero through the end of this year, perhaps well into next year, and maybe even into ’22.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 16 September 2022

Financial markets reacted in a zig-zag pattern to this week\'s economic data ahead of the next FOMC meeting. Price pressure is still not showing the sustained slowdown the Fed needs before it takes its foot off the throttle of tighter policy.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 06 March 2020

An inter-meeting rate cut by the FOMC did little to stem financial market volatility, as the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases continued to climb.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 10 March 2023

Financial markets were looking for validation that January\'s unexpected strength was not a fluke and that the downward slide in economic momentum experienced late last year had stabilized.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 08 May 2020

April nonfarm payrolls confirmed what we already knew—the labor market is collapsing. By the survey week of April 12, net employment had fallen by 20,500,000 jobs.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 16 October 2020

Data continue to reflect an economy digging itself out of the lockdown-induced slump.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 15 April 2022

What do pollen and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) have in common? Answer; both are hitting new highs. This week’s U.S. economic data was led by the largest month monthly increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) since September 2005.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 03 April 2020

Efforts to contain the virus are leading to millions of job losses and it’s likely only a matter of time before a majority of economic data reveal unprecedented declines.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 18 August 2023

The FOMC meeting minutes acknowledged the economy\'s resilience and continued to stress the Committee\'s resolve to bring inflation back down toward its 2% goal.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 08 November 2019

Optimism soared this week on hopes of a forthcoming trade deal, as equity markets hit all-time highs and the yield curve steepened.


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