It’s been a great week for history buffs like me, who were encouraged to see the Battleship Texas (the last dreadnought-style warship still in existence) slip uneventfully from her mooring at San Jacinto battleground and move safely to dry-dock in Galveston for some much needed restoration work before moving to a new, more tourist-friendly location. Similarly, economic news was buoyed by reports that employers added 315K new names to their payrolls in August. At the same time an additional 786K people stepped back into the labor force looking for work. Amid such a rush, the unemployment rate rose to 3.7%. More job seekers also lifted the participation rate to 62.4% and thus easing some tightness in the job market even as payrolls expanded.
With the Fed laser-focused on inflation, the August CPI will offer the last major piece of the 50 bps vs. 75 bps puzzle. But we do not see anything in the August employment report to alter the general path ahead. See Interest Rate Watch for further details.
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Sep 28, 2019
The release of the transcript of President Trump\'s phone conversation with Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskiy and the whistle blower complaint overshadowed most of this week\'s economic reports and took bond yields modestly lower.
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Jun 08, 2021
The CDC\'s relaxation of its mask mandate occurred mid-May, and as data for that month begins rolling in this week, it is evident there is no lack of demand. Supplies, on the other hand, are a worsening problem.
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Nov 24, 2020
The international economic news over the past week has been somewhat mixed. On the positive side, China’s October data showed ongoing growth in manufacturing and firming retail and service sector activity.
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Aug 23, 2023
The FOMC meeting minutes acknowledged the economy\'s resilience and continued to stress the Committee\'s resolve to bring inflation back down toward its 2% goal.
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Dec 08, 2022
Total payrolls rose by 263K in November, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 3.7% and average hourly earning rising by 0.6%.
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Oct 19, 2019
Personal consumption is still on track for a solid Q3, but retail sales declined in September for the first time in seven months.
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Aug 08, 2022
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported this morning that nonfarm payrolls increased 528,000 for the month of July, easily topping estimates, lowering the unemployment rate to 3.5%.
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Feb 10, 2021
Nonfarm employment rebounded in January, with employers adding 49,000 jobs following the prior month\'s 227,000-job drop.
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Dec 16, 2020
The longest U.S. economic expansion since the end of the Second World War came to an abrupt end earlier this year as the COVID pandemic essentially shut down the economy.
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Mar 14, 2023
Financial markets were looking for validation that January\'s unexpected strength was not a fluke and that the downward slide in economic momentum experienced late last year had stabilized.