This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 24 September 2021

By: Taro Chellaram /Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report/Oct 10, 2021

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 24 September 2021

While fears of an Evergrande default in China were rattling financial markets, for those of us in Southeast Texas who have survived the typically very hot months of July, August and September, this week brought the very welcome first early fall-like temperatures.  Not quite leaf-color changing or morning frost weather yet, but pleasant temperatures and much lower humidity.  The type of weather that hints at the relief to come.  In much the same way, this week’s FOMC meeting hinted at a forthcoming taper of bond purchases, reflecting their view that the outlook for economic growth for the balance of the year remains bright.




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Financial markets reacted in a zig-zag pattern to this week\'s economic data ahead of the next FOMC meeting. Price pressure is still not showing the sustained slowdown the Fed needs before it takes its foot off the throttle of tighter policy.

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Treasury yields surged this week due to strong economic activity, impacting expectations for longer-term rates. New home sales led to a rise in single-family permits, but spiking mortgage rates are testing builder affordability strategies.

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7 Interest Rate Watch for more detail. In other news, retail sales data disappointed as higher prices factor into spending and industrial activity continued to recover but remains beset by supply issues.

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The ISM services index came in stronger than expected, and the underlying details pointed to service sector resilience with business activity and new orders notching their highest reading this year.


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