This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 21 January 2022

By: Taro Chellaram /Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report/Jan 24, 2022

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 21 January 2022

It’s been a really quiet week for economic data, which leaves free time to ponder other things, like an article I saw this week speculating on whether it’s better to be a fan of a football organization that models consistency, like the Houston Texans (as in consistently bad), or one like the Dallas Cowboys that teases success only to rip away that hope from its fans at the last moment.  Hmmm….  On the other hand, we could ponder the state of the housing market.  Neither scenario is particularly original.  The Texans have earned a top draft position yet again, the Cowboys are home again for the remainder of the playoffs, and inflation concerns that continue to mount, along with ongoing supply chain disruptions, are weighing on homebuilder confidence in January.  In spite of that, new home construction continues to run at a robust pace. The overall shortfall of housing inventories constrained buying activity in December and pulled existing median home prices higher.  See this week’s attached Commentary for more insightful analysis of domestic and international economic trends and the ever-popular Federal Reserve watch.

 

If you’re one of the three people who have somehow avoided COVID Omicron so far, wow, that’s impressive.  For everyone else, have some chicken soup, Nyquil and get plenty of rest.




May 2020 Economy at a Glance

The U.S. is in a severe recession caused by the sudden shutdown due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Since the lock down began, the nation has lost 21.4 million jobs.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 08 January 2021

The manufacturing sector is showing a great deal of resilience, with the ISM Manufacturing survey exceeding expectations, at 60.7, and factory orders remaining strong.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 02 September 2022

More job seekers also lifted the participation rate to 62.4% and thus easing some tightness in the job market even as payrolls expanded.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 17 March 2023

Retail sales declined 0.4% during February, while industrial production was flat (0.0%). Housing starts and permits jumped 9.8% and 13.8%, respectively.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 25 June 2021

Supply chain bottlenecks continue to cause pain-in-the-necks. In spite of all the difficulties, the Economic whizzes in the WF Economics team have upgraded their forecast for full-year 2021 U.S.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 12 June 2020

Lock downs began to be lifted across most of the country by the end of May and the total amount of daily new coronavirus cases has been trending lower. But the flattening case count has not been consistent across the country.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 24 July 2020

Initial jobless claims rose to just over 1.4 million for the week ending July 18. Continuing claims fell to about 16.2 million. Initial claims edging higher suggests that the resurgence of COVID-19 may be taking a toll on the labor market recovery.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 02 December 2022

Total payrolls rose by 263K in November, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 3.7% and average hourly earning rising by 0.6%.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 22 November 2019

Minutes from the October FOMC meeting indicated the Fed is content to remain on the sidelines for the rest of this year as the looser financial conditions resulting from rate cuts at three consecutive meetings feed through to the economy.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 12 May 2023

In April, the CPI rose 0.4% on both a headline and core basis, keeping the core running at a 5.1% three-month annualized rate. However, details pointed to price growth easing ahead.


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