This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 24 January 2020

By: Taro Chellaram /Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report/Jan 25, 2020

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 24 January 2020

U.S. Review - Something in the Air 

  • Fears of an escalating coronavirus outbreak reached the United States this week, as a Washington state man became the first confirmed domestic case and the international total reached more than 800.
  • We expect any short-term economic impact to be limited and concentrated in East Asia, but the U.S. economy is certainly more vulnerable to shocks at this stage in the cycle. Sentiment matters.
  • On the home front, December existing home sales rose a solid 3.6% to a 5.54 million-unit pace as the housing market renaissance continues.

 

Global Review - China’s Coronavirus Spreading to Financial Markets

  • For the last three weeks, a new coronavirus has originated in China and spread across Asia. Most recently, the virus was confirmed to have entered the United States, sparking reminders of the SARS epidemic that plagued China and Asia in the early 2000s.
  • These fears have reached financial markets, with Asian and Chinese asset prices coming under pressure over the last few weeks. With travel restrictions put in place and the Chinese New Year approaching, Chinese economic activity data could be affected; however, we would expect any disruptions to be short-lived.



Where Will That $2 Trillion Come From Anyway?

Net Treasury issuance is set to surge in the coming weeks and months. At present, we look for the federal budget deficit to be $2.4 trillion in FY 2020 and $1.7 trillion in FY 2021.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 22 January 2021

Housing starts jumped 5.8% during December. Single-family starts soared 12%, while multifamily starts dropped 13.6%.

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Relief in October inflation gives the FOMC the ability to slow the pace of rate hikes ahead. But make no mistake, the Fed\'s job of taming inflation remains far from over.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 11 June 2021

Okay, so I’ve gotten about half a dozen calls since Wednesday asking if I saw the May CPI numbers that came out this week.

September 2020 Economy At A Glance

A March survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas found most exploration firms need West Texas Inter-mediate (WTI) at $49 per barrel or higher to profitably drill a well.

13 January 2021 Monthly Outlook Report

The U.S. economy appears to be losing some momentum as the calendar turns to 2021 and the public health situation continues to deteriorate.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 27 March 2020

The U.S. surpassed Italy and China with the most confirmed cases of COVID-19. Europe is still the center of the storm, with the total cases in Europe’s five largest economies topping 230,000.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 28 May 2021

This week\'s light calendar of economic reports showed supply chain disruptions tugging a little at economic growth.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 15 April 2022

What do pollen and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) have in common? Answer; both are hitting new highs. This week’s U.S. economic data was led by the largest month monthly increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) since September 2005.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 15 January 2021

Retail sales fell 0.7% in December, the third straight monthly decline. Sales are still up 2.9% over the year, however.


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