This week takes us almost halfway thru the Aug/Sept timeframe that can be especially hot here in Texas. It also brings us to the precipice of that most exciting time of the year…football season. To mark the occasion, this week’s Commentary includes a special seasonal addition that will carry forward through early December…a SPORTS section. Yes you read that correctly. Your favorite weekly economics summary will also bring you a special college football feature each week for the next couple of months, which is appropriate given what a big business it has evolved into. No betting lines are offered, so keep your money in your pocket.
In other economic news, output continues to ramp up across the U.S., even as the resurgence in COVID cases is leading to some pullback in consumer engagement. The need to rebuild inventories should keep production rising, even if consumer spending moderates a bit further. Housing is already beginning to move into better balance, with rising inventories of existing homes beginning to moderate soaring home prices. Inventories of new homes have also increased, although most of the gain is in developed lots and homes under construction.
This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 10 January 2025
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Jan 13, 2025
Meetings of the Federal Reserve\'s Open Markets Committee are about what the Fed is doing; minutes of those meetings tell you something about what policymakers are thinking.
This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 03 March 2023
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Mar 07, 2023
Looking at Q4 GDP, Australia\'s economy grew by less than expected, GDP was flat for the quarter in both Canada and Switzerland, and Sweden\'s economy contracted in the final quarter of last year.
This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 10 November 2022
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Nov 11, 2022
Relief in October inflation gives the FOMC the ability to slow the pace of rate hikes ahead. But make no mistake, the Fed\'s job of taming inflation remains far from over.
This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 07 June 2024
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Jun 11, 2024
The U.S. labor market continues to defy expectations. Employers added 272K net new jobs in May, which was stronger than even the most bullish forecaster among 77 submissions to the Bloomberg survey.
This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 20 December 2024
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Dec 23, 2024
The strength in demand has hindered progress on disinflation, exemplified by the PCE deflator inching up a tenth to 2.4% year-over-year in November.
This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 01 November 2024
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Nov 06, 2024
The unemployment rate, which is derived from the household survey and counts those not working due to a strike or severe weather as employed, held steady at 4.1%. A 25 bps rate cut at next week\'s FOMC meeting remains highly likely.
June 2020 Economy At A Glance
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Jun 18, 2020
The Fed expects to hold interest rates near zero through the end of this year, perhaps well into next year, and maybe even into ’22.
This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 10 April 2020
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Apr 11, 2020
The Federal Reserve greatly expanded the collateral that it is willing to buy, further easing pressures in financial markets.
This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 15 November 2024
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Nov 20, 2024
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.24% in October, the largest unrounded monthly uptick since April. This bump brought the 12-month rate to 2.6%, the first annual acceleration since inflation’s hot streak in Q1.
This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 21 October 2022
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Oct 25, 2022
The real estate sector has been significantly affected by rising interest rates, with total housing starts falling 8.1% in September. Peering ahead, the forward-looking Leading Economic Index points to a recession in the coming year.