U.S. - The Shot Heard Round the World
- This week marked the first U.S. COVID vaccinations and the imminent rollout of a second vaccine. But, the resurgence of the virus and increased mobility restrictions further show why fiscal support would help ensure the economic recovery.
- The highest number of individuals since September filed an initial claim for unemployment last week.
- Retail sales missed expectations in November and foreshadow the impending air pocket for durables consumption, which will also have implications for the rebound in manufacturing.
- Housing remains a bright spot with starts up 1.2% last month.
Global - Lockdowns in Eurozone Likely to Weigh on Q4 Growth
- The Eurozone’s manufacturing PMI unexpectedly rose in December, while the services PMI jumped more than expected. Despite the pickup in survey data, the near-term outlook for the Eurozone economy remains negative, given the renewed COVID spread and associated lockdown measures.
- The Norges Bank held its benchmark rate at zero at its monetary policy meeting this week, but the tone of the accompanying statement was somewhat hawkish. The central bank lifted its projected rate path, now projecting a rate hike in early 2022. Meanwhile, the Bank of England also met this week, leaving its policy rate unchanged at 0.10%.
This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 17 June 2022
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Jun 20, 2022
After last week\'s stronger-than-expected CPI, less surprising was the 75 point rate increase put forth by the Fed.
This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 19 May 2023
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / May 23, 2023
Economic data continue to suggest the U.S. economy is only gradually losing momentum. Consumers continue to spend, and industrial and housing activity are seeing some stabilization.
This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 29 May 2020
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / May 30, 2020
The beginning of this week saw some optimism that the economic downturn could be relatively short-lived, but data through the rest of the week provided grim reminder of the economic damage from COVID-19.
This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 10 September 2021
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Sep 13, 2021
Data from the opening weekend of College Football indicates that we will have to endure another season of Nick Saban deification.
This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 01 April 2022
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Apr 05, 2022
The key factor that will drive interest rates is the Fed’s belated effort to rein-in inflation.
This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 28 June 2024
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Jul 04, 2024
According to the Federal Reserve\'s preferred gauge, core inflation cooled to its softest pace in more than three years in May against a backdrop of measured consumer spending and still-strong personal income.
This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 03 June 2022
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Jun 08, 2022
While talk of recession has kicked up in recent weeks, the majority of economic data remain consistent with modest growth.
This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 01 March 2024
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Mar 05, 2024
Economic data were downbeat this week, as downward revisions took some of the shine out of the marquee headline numbers. Despite the somewhat weak start to Q1, economic growth continues to trek along.
This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 23 September 2020
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Sep 22, 2020
European activity is surging. Germany and Italy are leading the way, but France is close behind despite an ongoing rise in cases. The Google data are a bit outdated, but are hard to reconcile with today’s weak Eurozone services PMI figures.
This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 17 January 2020
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Jan 18, 2020
Mild weather helped housing starts surge 16.9% in December to a 1.61 million-unit pace, the highest in 13 years. Manufacturing surveys from the New York Fed and Philadelphia Fed both rose more than expected in December.
