This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 23 December 2020

By: Taro Chellaram /Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report/Dec 26, 2020

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 23 December 2020

U.S. - Someday Soon We All Will Be Together, If the Fates Allow

  • Vaccines are here, but they are not yet widely available in a way that can stem the spread of a disease that grows by 200K a day.
  • A relief bill is coming, but it arrives as some of the damage it aims to prevent has already occurred: confidence is waning, personal spending fell in November for the first time since April and more than 800K people filed first-time jobless claims each week so far in December.
  • The ultimate form of social distancing is owning your own home. Fresh data on new and existing home sales this week show that, on trend, housing continues to hold up well.

 

Global - U.K. COVID Cases Rising

  • This past weekend, U.K. authorities announced a new strain of COVID was spreading across the country, particularly in London. Case numbers have spiked in the city of London over the past few weeks, forcing policymakers to implement new lockdown measures.
  • The economic outlook for the U.K. was already diminishing as confirmed cases were rising and restrictions were being implemented. With harsher restrictions now in place, it is likely the U.K. economy contracts more severely in Q4-2020, as well as on an annual basis, than we currently forecast. In addition, the early 2021 outlook is now more complicated.



This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 24 May 2024

Homebuying retreated in April following a leg up in mortgage rates. Meanwhile, durable goods orders surprised to the upside, suggesting the manufacturing industry is on better footing.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 20 November 2020

The international economic news over the past week has been somewhat mixed. On the positive side, China’s October data showed ongoing growth in manufacturing and firming retail and service sector activity.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 22 October 2021

Restrictions from a renewed COVID outbreak in China, regulatory changes weighing on local financial markets and a potential collapse of Evergrande have all contributed to a slowdown in Chinese economic activity.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 25 March 2022

The fact that capital goods shipments surprised on the upside was one of the few things that went right in this week\'s durable goods report.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 24 July 2020

Initial jobless claims rose to just over 1.4 million for the week ending July 18. Continuing claims fell to about 16.2 million. Initial claims edging higher suggests that the resurgence of COVID-19 may be taking a toll on the labor market recovery.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 22 July 2022

July\'s NAHB Housing Market Index dropped 12 points to 55, the second largest monthly decline on record behind April 2020\'s pandemic-induced collapse.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 13 March 2020

Financial conditions tightened sharply this week as concerns over the coronavirus and the economic fallout of containment efforts mounted.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 12 February 2021

Market attention was concentrated on the January consumer price data, as inflation has come back into focus.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 29 March 2024

Consumer momentum remains largely intact, inflation continues to inch back down, albeit at a slower pace, and rate-sensitive sectors stayed in a holding pattern.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 21 June 2024

Retail sales rose just 0.1% over the month, falling short of consensus and suggesting that consumers may finally be feeling some spending fatigue.


Instagram

@ tcgcrealestate

Subscribe Now! IT's Free

Stay up to date with all news coming straight in your mailbox.

Copyright © 2024 TC Global Commercial. All rights reserved.