This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 17 December 2021

By: Taro Chellaram /Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report/Dec 21, 2021

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 17 December 2021

The more hawkish tone coming out of that meeting gives the impression that the Fed has decided the factors driving inflation may not be just “transitory” after all.  Check out the p. 7 Interest Rate Watch for more detail.  In other news, retail sales data disappointed as higher prices factor into spending and industrial activity continued to recover but remains beset by supply issues. Continued supply side issues also extended to the housing sector, where the number of homes under construction reached its highest level since 2007.




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Unlike Yordan Alvarez, no one is expecting the Fed to stand back and admire their handiwork after this weeks 50 basis point increase in the Fed Discount Rate. Similar to Yordan, their effort is more of a single and not a home run.

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It was a mildly busy week for foreign economic data and events, while global COVID-19 cases continued to rise.

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During December, payrolls rose by 223K while the unemployment rate fell to 3.5% and average hourly earnings eased 0.3%. Job openings (JOLTS) edged down to 10.46 million in November.

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The U.S. economy appears to be losing some momentum as the calendar turns to 2021 and the public health situation continues to deteriorate.

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In other economic news, output continues to ramp up across the U.S., even as the resurgence in COVID cases is leading to some pullback in consumer engagement.

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Existing home sales declined 0.7% in January, while new home sales leaped 7.2%. Real personal spending shot higher in January, and solid growth in discretionary spending suggests continued consumer resilience.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 08 May 2020

April nonfarm payrolls confirmed what we already knew—the labor market is collapsing. By the survey week of April 12, net employment had fallen by 20,500,000 jobs.

The Regional Breakdown Of A Labor Market In Meltdown

Employment fell in all 50 states and 43 states saw their unemployment rate rise to a record in April. The damage is already hard to fathom-a 28% unemployment rate in Nevada and still another month of job losses ahead.

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The U.S. surpassed Italy and China with the most confirmed cases of COVID-19. Europe is still the center of the storm, with the total cases in Europe’s five largest economies topping 230,000.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 27 May 2022

it looks like higher mortgage rates are starting to have some effect on the housing market as April...


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