2021 Annual Economic Outlook

By: Taro Chellaram /Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report/Dec 16, 2020

2021 Annual Economic Outlook

Aftershocks and divergence in the post-pandemic economy 

The longest U.S. economic expansion since the end of the Second World War came to an abrupt end earlier this year as the COVID pandemic essentially shut down the economy. Following an unprecedented plunge in Q2-2020—real GDP nosedived at an annualized rate of 31.4%—economic activity rebounded sharply in the third quarter. But the shocks of the pandemic continue to reverberate throughout the economy as renewed surges in COVID case counts have led some local officials to reimpose some restrictions. Furthermore, voluntary decisions by individuals and businesses to follow guidelines regarding socially-distanced behavior have led to weakness in some sectors of the economy. Most foreign economies, which have experienced their own outbreaks of COVID cases, have also been rocked by the pandemic.




This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 07 October 2020

In the immediate fallout after the lockdowns in the early stages of this pandemic, there was a lot of discussion about the shape of the recovery.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 05 June 2020

Data this week continued to suggest the U.S. economy hit rock bottom in April. Still, it is a long road to recovery and the pickup in economic activity will be gradual.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 01 April 2022

The key factor that will drive interest rates is the Fed’s belated effort to rein-in inflation.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 30 September 2022

Just as I know the folks in Florida are resilient and will recover in time, incoming data indicate a slowing yet resilient economy.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 01 December 2023

U.S. data released this week indicates the economic expansion remains alive even as inflation continues to slow. The year-ago rates of headline and core PCE inflation were the lowest since March 2021 and April 2021, respectively.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 13 October 2023

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% in September, a monthly change that was a bit softer than the 0.6% increase registered in August. The core CPI rose 0.3% during the month, a pace unchanged from the month prior.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 26August 2022

I can understand how the opportunity to participate in lots of scintillating economic policy discussions could make fishing look exciting in comparison.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 20 December 2019

President Trump became the third president in U.S. history to be impeached by the House, but removal by the Senate is highly unlikely. The House also passed the USMCA, which should be signed into law in early 2020.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 28 August 2020

After a revised look at GDP this week suggested the second quarter may not have been quite as bad as first estimated, attention shifts to the current quarter.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 22 April 2022

I’ll wish you a Happy Earth Day anyway. Don’t expect a card this year. While the Earth continues to thankfully revolve at a steady rate, rising mortgage rates appear to be slowing residential activity


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