This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 26August 2022

By: Taro Chellaram /Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report/Aug 29, 2022

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 26August 2022

I can understand how the opportunity to participate in lots of scintillating economic policy discussions could make fishing look exciting in comparison.  Speaking of the economy, a second guesstimate at Q2 GDP is that it posted a 0.6% quarterly decline, slightly better than the first-reported 0.7% drop. New home sales fell 12.6% in July, reflecting the ongoing downshift in housing activity. Durable goods orders were essentially flat in July, while personal income and spending rose 0.2% and 0.1%, respectively. University of Michigan consumer sentiment improved to 58.2 in August.  Glad to hear we’re all feeling a bit better.




This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 16 July 2021

Visiting from Texas, it felt more like fall, which like the Texas cold-snap last February just goes to show that it’s a case of what you’re used to.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 14 January 2022

As you may have already seen, inflation is running almost as hot as the stock of our favorite bank. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 7.0% year-over-year in December, the fastest increase in nearly 40 years.

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During February, existing home sales and housing starts both topped expectations and rose at robust rates. Meanwhile, initial jobless claims have remained subdued so far in March.

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It may be a holiday-shortened week, but there have been as many developments and economic indicators packed into three days as we can recall seeing in any other week this year.

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The combination of the election outcome and a workable vaccine boosted financial markets and set the background music for this week’s short list of indicators.

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Deep thought for the week, if a tree falls in the forest, or an Olympics occurs, and no one is there to hear it or see it, did it really occur?

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Just as I know the folks in Florida are resilient and will recover in time, incoming data indicate a slowing yet resilient economy.

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Sales of existing homes fell 2.2% to a 5.38 million-unit pace in September, but sales and prices were still up enough in the quarter that they will add solidly to Q3 GDP growth.

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Mobility is continuing to trickle lower in several major developed market economies. The U.K., France, Italy and Canada have all seen some further modest declines in retail/recreation visits.

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While we were picking up tree limbs from the yard, data released this week generally showed a stronger economy in August than many expected in the wake of surging COVID cases.


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