This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 13 November 2020

By: Taro Chellaram /Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report/Nov 14, 2020

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 13 November 2020

U.S. - Vaccination Record

  • The combination of the election outcome and a workable vaccine boosted financial markets and set the background music for this week’s short list of indicators. See Topic of the Week for our take on the economic implications of the vaccine.
  • Small businesses reported near-record uncertainty in October amid the pandemic and a divisive election.
  • Initial jobless claims may be edging lower, but the fact that more than 20 million people are still seeking continuing jobless benefits in one form or another points to lost momentum in the labor market rebound.

 

Global - U.K. GDP Strong, Eurozone Industrial Production Weak

  • This week, the United Kingdom reported Q3 GDP which confirmed the economy rebounded sharply last quarter. However, with Brexit still unresolved and new restrictions in place, the recovery is likely to be disrupted in Q4. The same can be said for the Eurozone, which reported uninspiring industrial production data and is likely to see activity decline in Q4.
  • Turkish financial markets, especially the currency, have rallied as major policy changes could be imminent. Higher interest rates as well as more orthodox policymaking are now expected; however, we remain somewhat cautious and believe markets could be getting ahead of themselves.



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Two countervailing themes competed for attention this week in financial markets. The first is that for the most part, economic data continue to surprise to the upside and do not yet rule out prospects for that elusive V-shaped recovery.

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This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 24 July 2020

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This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 10 April 2020

The Federal Reserve greatly expanded the collateral that it is willing to buy, further easing pressures in financial markets.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 05 May 2023

In April, employers added 253K jobs and the unemployment rate fell to 3.4%. During the same month, the ISM services index edged up to 51.9, while the ISM manufacturing index improved to 47.1.

July 2020 Economy At A Glance

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This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 16 February 2024

The out-of-consensus start to the year for economic data continued with a slip in retail sales and industrial production followed by a startling 14.8% drop in housing starts during January.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 20 January 2023

The housing sector has borne the brunt of the Fed\'s efforts to slow the economy, and this week\'s data showed the industry continues to reel.

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