This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 13 November 2020

By: Taro Chellaram /Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report/Nov 14, 2020

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 13 November 2020

U.S. - Vaccination Record

  • The combination of the election outcome and a workable vaccine boosted financial markets and set the background music for this week’s short list of indicators. See Topic of the Week for our take on the economic implications of the vaccine.
  • Small businesses reported near-record uncertainty in October amid the pandemic and a divisive election.
  • Initial jobless claims may be edging lower, but the fact that more than 20 million people are still seeking continuing jobless benefits in one form or another points to lost momentum in the labor market rebound.

 

Global - U.K. GDP Strong, Eurozone Industrial Production Weak

  • This week, the United Kingdom reported Q3 GDP which confirmed the economy rebounded sharply last quarter. However, with Brexit still unresolved and new restrictions in place, the recovery is likely to be disrupted in Q4. The same can be said for the Eurozone, which reported uninspiring industrial production data and is likely to see activity decline in Q4.
  • Turkish financial markets, especially the currency, have rallied as major policy changes could be imminent. Higher interest rates as well as more orthodox policymaking are now expected; however, we remain somewhat cautious and believe markets could be getting ahead of themselves.



This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 17 March 2023

Retail sales declined 0.4% during February, while industrial production was flat (0.0%). Housing starts and permits jumped 9.8% and 13.8%, respectively.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 03 February 2023

During January, payrolls jumped by 517K, the unemployment rate fell to 3.4% and average hourly earnings rose by 0.3%. The FOMC raised the fed funds target range by 25 bps to 4.5%-4.75% this week.

How Long Can US Businesses Remain Shut Down?

The sudden stop in economic activity caused by the COVID-19 pandemic means that many businesses will need to rely on their cash reserves to survive the next few months.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 17 April 2020

Economic data from the early stages of the Great Shutdown have finally arrived, and they are as bad as feared. ‘Worst on record’ is about to become an all too common refrain in our commentary.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 12 February 2021

Market attention was concentrated on the January consumer price data, as inflation has come back into focus.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 18 November 2022

The resiliency of the U.S. consumer was also on display, as total retail sales increased a stronger-than-expected 1.3% in October, boosted, in part, by a 1.3% jump in motor vehicles & parts and a 4.1% rise at gasoline stations.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 01 July 2022

As with the Mets and Yankees when they ran into the Astros over the last couple days, consumers staying power is showing signs of running out as inflation persists and confidence moves sharply lower.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 14 April 2023

In March retail sales fell 1.0%, manufacturing production slipped 0.5% and the consumer price index rose a modest 0.1%.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 10 March 2023

Financial markets were looking for validation that January\'s unexpected strength was not a fluke and that the downward slide in economic momentum experienced late last year had stabilized.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 21 May 2021

Over the past year, the housing market has become white-hot.


Instagram

@ tcgcrealestate

Subscribe Now! IT's Free

Stay up to date with all news coming straight in your mailbox.

Copyright © 2023 TC Global Commercial. All rights reserved.