This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 08 April 2022

By: Taro Chellaram /Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report/Apr 11, 2022

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 08 April 2022

Long-time readings of my weekly musings no doubt know I would never let Astros Opening Day pass without comment.  Not to disappoint, I’ll simply point out that yesterdays Opening Day win versus the Los Angeles Angels represents the Astros 10th consecutive opening day victory, tying the Major League record set by the Boston Beaneaters, who won ten in a row between 1887-96.  The Astros have not lost an Opening Day game since their move to the American League in 2013.

 

In an otherwise calm week of data, Wednesday's release of the FOMC minutes stirred things up as comments showed committee members agreeing that elevated inflation and the tight labor market at present warrant balance sheet reduction to begin soon. However, the FOMC minutes also stressed that current economic indicators continue to point to strong activity, which was affirmed by the strong domestic demand that drove the ISM services index higher in March and kept the February trade balance at a record deficit.




This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 14 January 2022

As you may have already seen, inflation is running almost as hot as the stock of our favorite bank. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 7.0% year-over-year in December, the fastest increase in nearly 40 years.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 18 November 2022

The resiliency of the U.S. consumer was also on display, as total retail sales increased a stronger-than-expected 1.3% in October, boosted, in part, by a 1.3% jump in motor vehicles & parts and a 4.1% rise at gasoline stations.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 21 January 2022

The Texans have earned a top draft position yet again, the Cowboys are home again for the remainder of the playoffs, and inflation concerns that continue to mount, along with ongoing supply chain disruptions, are weighing on homebuilder confidence.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 08 May 2020

April nonfarm payrolls confirmed what we already knew—the labor market is collapsing. By the survey week of April 12, net employment had fallen by 20,500,000 jobs.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 14 April 2023

In March retail sales fell 1.0%, manufacturing production slipped 0.5% and the consumer price index rose a modest 0.1%.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 10 November 2022

Relief in October inflation gives the FOMC the ability to slow the pace of rate hikes ahead. But make no mistake, the Fed\'s job of taming inflation remains far from over.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 23 September 2022

The FOMC raised the target range for the fed funds rate by 75 bps for the third consecutive time. The housing market continues to buckle under the pressure of higher mortgage rates.

Where Will That $2 Trillion Come From Anyway?

Net Treasury issuance is set to surge in the coming weeks and months. At present, we look for the federal budget deficit to be $2.4 trillion in FY 2020 and $1.7 trillion in FY 2021.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 11 February 2022

Deep thought for the week, if a tree falls in the forest, or an Olympics occurs, and no one is there to hear it or see it, did it really occur?

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 03 April 2020

Efforts to contain the virus are leading to millions of job losses and it’s likely only a matter of time before a majority of economic data reveal unprecedented declines.


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