This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 25 September 2020

By: Taro Chellaram /Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report/Sep 28, 2020

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 25 September 2020

U.S. - More Strong Housing Numbers

  • Existing home sales rose 2.4% to a 6.0-million unit annual pace. The surge in sales further depleted inventories and pushed prices sharply higher.
  • The IHS Market Purchasing Managers’ survey noted that manufacturing conditions improved in September.
  • New home sales soared 4.8% to a 1.011-million unit pace, marking the strongest sales pace since September 2006.
  • Durable goods orders were stronger than the 0.4% headline gain suggests. Core nondefense capital goods orders rose 1.8%, and are up at a 22.7% pace over the past three months.

 

Global - Eurozone Recovery Threatened by Surging COVID Cases

  • Surging new COVID-19 cases across Europe have threatened the continent’s economic recovery. Daily new cases are now above the peak seen in March/April, although this does not account for differences in testing.
  • Against this backdrop, Eurozone September PMI indices were closely scrutinized by market participants this week. The services PMI showed further weakness, falling into contraction territory at 47.6.
  • Elsewhere, the Bank of Mexico cut its overnight interbank interest rate 25 bps to 4.25%. Most forecasters in the Bloomberg survey expected the cut.



This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 04 September 2020

Employers added jobs for the fourth consecutive month in August, bringing the total number of jobs recovered from the virus-related low to 10.5 million.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 07 October 2020

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While talk of recession has kicked up in recent weeks, the majority of economic data remain consistent with modest growth.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 03 March 2023

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This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 14 April 2023

In March retail sales fell 1.0%, manufacturing production slipped 0.5% and the consumer price index rose a modest 0.1%.

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November 2020 Economy At A Glance

U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) grew 7.4 percent, or $1.3 trillion in Q3, adjusted for inflation.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 17 April 2020

Economic data from the early stages of the Great Shutdown have finally arrived, and they are as bad as feared. ‘Worst on record’ is about to become an all too common refrain in our commentary.

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