This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 24 April 2020

By: Taro Chellaram /Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report/Apr 27, 2020

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 24 April 2020

U.S. - Throw Out the Textbook

  • Oil prices went negative for the first time in history on Monday as the evaporation of demand collided with a supply glut.
  • In the past five weeks, 26.5 million people have filed for unemployment insurance, or more than one out of every seven workers.
  • Congress has passed its fourth major relief package, including an additional $320 billion for the PPP.
  • The Fed continues to do what it can, with its balance sheet rising an astounding $2.4 trillion in just two months.


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Despite indications of lost momentum elsewhere, residential construction activity is picking up steam.

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The re-opening of the country is getting underway, with all 50 states starting to roll back restrictions.

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Consumer momentum remains largely intact, inflation continues to inch back down, albeit at a slower pace, and rate-sensitive sectors stayed in a holding pattern.

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Okay, so I’ve gotten about half a dozen calls since Wednesday asking if I saw the May CPI numbers that came out this week.

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This week, Congress and the president prevented what would have been the first default in U.S. history by agreeing to suspend the debt ceiling through the end of 2024.

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Financial conditions tightened sharply this week as concerns over the coronavirus and the economic fallout of containment efforts mounted.

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Retail sales increased for a fourth straight month in January, underscoring the resiliency of the U.S. consumer. Fundamentals are solid and support our expectations for healthy consumer spending gains in coming months.

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Employment growth was broad-based, though reliant on a 87K gain in health care & social assistance. Modest gains from construction, financial activities and hospitality also contributed to private sector job growth.


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