U.S. - Bringing Down the Hammer
- Despite indications of lost momentum elsewhere, residential construction activity is picking up steam. A key survey shows confidence among home builders in August tied an all-time high set in 1998 and housing starts figures released this week handily exceeded expectations.
- Existing home sales rose 24.7% in July as the annualized pace of sales rose above 5.8 million.
- The leading economic index increased in July, but for the second straight month it did so at a slower pace.
- The number of people filing for unemployment insurance crested back up over a million in the first week of August.
Global - How Quickly Will Japan’s Economy Bounce Back?
- COVID-19 has wrought a far lower human toll on Japan than in most of Europe or the United States. Japan has a total of close to nine deaths per million people, in comparison to 530 per million in the United States or 587 per million in Italy.
- Despite a less severe lock down, the Japanese economy has taken a nosedive like many of its developed market peers. Data on Q2 real GDP growth in Japan was released this week and showed a 27.8% annualized contraction.
- Europe’s August PMI surveys were mixed. The U.K. PMIs firmed further, including the strongest reading for the services PMI since 2013. In contrast the Euro zone services PMI softened, but remained (just) in growth territory.
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Sep 14, 2020
In the holiday-shortened week, analysts’ attention remained on the progress of the labor market. Recent jobless claims data remain stubbornly high and point to a slowing jobs rebound.
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Apr 27, 2020
Oil prices went negative for the first time in history on Monday as the evaporation of demand collided with a supply glut. In the past five weeks, 26.5 million people have filed for unemployment insurance, or more than one out of every seven workers.
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Oct 14, 2020
The global mobility playing field is equalizing. Major European countries such as Germany and France have seen a slowdown in recent weeks, leaving them right in line with the United States relative to the January baseline.
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Jan 12, 2021
The manufacturing sector is showing a great deal of resilience, with the ISM Manufacturing survey exceeding expectations, at 60.7, and factory orders remaining strong.
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Aug 08, 2022
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported this morning that nonfarm payrolls increased 528,000 for the month of July, easily topping estimates, lowering the unemployment rate to 3.5%.
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Dec 21, 2020
This week marked the first U.S. COVID vaccinations and the imminent rollout of a second vaccine.
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Oct 21, 2020
Mobility is continuing to trickle lower in several major developed market economies. The U.K., France, Italy and Canada have all seen some further modest declines in retail/recreation visits.
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Jan 11, 2020
The week began amid rising tensions carrying over from the U.S. killing of Iranian General Qasem Soleimani last Friday.
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Jun 06, 2023
This week, Congress and the president prevented what would have been the first default in U.S. history by agreeing to suspend the debt ceiling through the end of 2024.
Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report / Feb 20, 2023
Inflation in the U.K. receded for the third straight month in January, with the headline rate coming in at 10.1% year-over-year. In bad news, this is still five times the Bank of England\'s 2% target.