This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 09 October 2020

By: Taro Chellaram /Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report/Oct 12, 2020

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 09 October 2020

U.S. - Slow Data Week Puts More Focus on Policy

  • Weekly first time unemployment claims highlighted an extraordinarily slow week for economic news. Jobless claims fell slightly but continuing claims fell by one million.
  • The ISM non-manufacturing survey handily beat expectation, rising 0.9 points to 57.8.
  • Job openings, as tallied by the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ JOLTS survey, fell by 200,000 to 6.49 million in August.
  • The nation’s trade deficit widened sharply to $67.1 billion in August, as consumer spending on goods has rebounded well ahead of many other nations.

 

Global - RBA on Hold; Canadian Job Gains Accelerate

  • The Reserve Bank of Australia held its cash rate and three-year yield target unchanged at 0.25%, as expected, but reiterated that fiscal and monetary support will be required for some time. Following the RBA meeting, Australia released its fiscal plan, which is now expected to push the cash deficit to a record high.
  • Mexican inflation remained above the central bank’s upper bound inflation target of 4% in September, while Brazil’s September IPCA consumer prices rose to 3.14% year-over-year. Elsewhere, Canadian employment growth unexpectedly accelerated in September, while the unemployment rate slid to 9.0%.



This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 07 February 2020

U.S. employers added 225K new workers to their payrolls in January, which handily beat expectations. But the factory sector shed jobs for the third time in four months, and net layoffs were reported for finance and retail as well.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 25 November 2020

It may be a holiday-shortened week, but there have been as many developments and economic indicators packed into three days as we can recall seeing in any other week this year.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 05 June 2020

Data this week continued to suggest the U.S. economy hit rock bottom in April. Still, it is a long road to recovery and the pickup in economic activity will be gradual.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 27 November 2019

A series of U.K. general election polls released this week continue to show Boris Johnson’s Conservative Party with a significant lead over the opposition Labor Party.

August 2020 Economy At A Glance

Downstream involves the refining and processing of oil and natural gas into fuels, chemicals, and plastics. All three sectors are well-represented in Houston.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 24 March 2023

The FOMC hiked the federal funds rate by 25 bps on Wednesday amid continued strength in the labor market and elevated inflation.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 20 August 2021

The Wells Fargo Economics team notes in the Commentary that new COVID cases in New Zealand disrupted the Reserve Bank of New Zealand\'s plan to tighten monetary policy this week.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 17 April 2020

Economic data from the early stages of the Great Shutdown have finally arrived, and they are as bad as feared. ‘Worst on record’ is about to become an all too common refrain in our commentary.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 15 November 2019

Retail sales beat expectations and rose 0.3% in October, reflecting the ongoing strength of the consumer. Control group sales, a major input to GDP, also increased 0.3%.

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 03 November 2023

Although payroll growth is easing, the labor market remains relatively tight. The unemployment rate inched up to 3.9% in October, slightly higher than the cycle low of 3.4% first hit in January 2023, but still low compared to historical averages.


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